The 10:10 Project and Zeno’s Paradox

The goal of the 10:10 Project is to cut carbon emissions by 10 percent per year. Sony, which supported the 10:10 Project until a promotional video featuring exploding global warming skeptics offended a lot of people, has its own project called the “Road to Zero.”

While they mean well, supporters of the two initiatives seem to have forgotten Zeno’s paradox. Suppose that people are particularly zealous about their carbon-cutting and cut 50 percent per year, not 10 percent. Not only does that make the math easier, it biases the numbers against the argument I’m making.

Their emissions would go from 1 to 1/2 to 1/4 to 1/18 to 1/16, and so on. Emissions move asymptotically towards zero, which is a fancy way of saying they never actually get there.

As with most campaigns of this sort, 10:10 and Road to Zero may succeed in making people feel good about themselves. And there is some value in that. But the schemes, especially taken together, are too clever by half. Or, more likely, the opposite.

Not the Best Marketing Strategy

This video seems to be saying, “Do what we tell you or we’ll blow you up.” Surprisingly, people aren’t taking very kindly to it.

How to Lie with Statistics

Steven Landsburg uncovers a whopper. Take a look at this graph for a second. Pay special attention to the right-hand y-axis. Then click on over to Landsburg’s blog post to find out what’s wrong with it.

Baseball Season Is Over

Well, the Brewers lost their final two games. The 2010 season is in the books at a middling 77-85. Another losing season. No playoffs this year. Manager Ken Macha was fired today. And Prince Fielder’s 50-home run swing will likely be traded away over the winter. Trevor Hoffman isn’t coming back. The starting pitching is still woefully thin. The team doesn’t seem to be in win-now mode anymore.

But I’m ok with that. Because at least they beat the Cubs (75-87).

Nothing against those poor, poor Cubs. I used to watch Harry Caray call their games after school when I was a kid. I cheered for Ryne Sandberg and Andre Dawson and Shawon Dunston. I even went to a few games at Wrigley Field and sang along to “Take Me Out to the Ballgame” during the seventh-inning stretch.

But when my beloved Brewers clearly aren’t playoff-bound, I set a secondary goal. It gives meaning to otherwise meaningless September games. This year’s pennant race substitute was beating the division rival Cubs. After all, most of the league managed to. It’s good to know that my favorite team can, too.

Rooting for bad teams can teach important life lessons. This year, I learned that it’s hard to be disappointed when you have low expectations. One wonders what next year’s lesson will be.

Advice for Writers

“[O]bscurity is usually the refuge of incompetence.”

-Robert Heinlein, Stranger in a Strange Land.

Cubs Watch, 10/1

Brewers 9, Mets 2.

Cubs 1, Padres 0.

The Brewers’ magic number is 1. The next Brewer win or Cub loss guarantees the Brewers a better record than the Cubs.

Milwaukee wraps up the season with three games against Cincinnati. The Reds have already clinched a division title, so they’re resting their starters. That improves Milwaukee’s chances.

Both teams have 3 games remaining.

CEI Podcast – September 30, 2010: William F. Buckley

Have a listen here.

Jeremy Lott, a former Warren Brookes Fellow at CEI and an editor for RealClearPolitics, is the author of the new book, William F. Buckley. Jeremy talks about the book and the complicated, sometimes adversarial relationship between conservatism and libertarianism — a gap Buckley spent much of his life trying to bridge.

Cubs Watch, 9/30

Brewers 8, Mets 7 (game 1 of doubleheader)

Brewers 3, Mets, 1 (game 2)

Padres 3, Cubs 0.

The Brewers’ magic number is 2. Any combination of Brewer wins and Cub losses adding up to that number will ensure that the Brewers end the season with a better record than the Cubs. The Brewers could clinch tonight if everything goes their way.

Both teams have 4 games remaining.

Send Your Kids to Camp Politics

This new video from the Institute for Justice is funny and sad at the same time.

Cubs Watch, 9/29

Mets 4, Brewers 3.

Cubs 5, Padres 2.

The Brewers’ magic number remains 5. Any combination of Brewer wins and Cub losses adding up to that number will ensure that the Brewers end the season with a better record than the Cubs.

The Brewers have 6 games remaining; the Cubs have 5. The Brewers and Mets are playing a doubleheader today to make up for Monday’s rainout.