This Week in Ridiculous Regulations

The partial shutdown ended on Friday, though only on a three-week deal. This likely will not show up in the Federal Register’s page and rule counts until mid- to late-week, given that it usually operates on a 2-3 day lag. Something else important happened last week: Venezuela’s dictatorship might be ending. It’s too early to cheer, but opposition leader Juan Guaidó, if his claim to legitimacy is successful, seems decidedly more liberal than the Chavez/Maduro regime. Time will tell.

Regulations that did appear during the week range from cockpit displays to crabbing vessels.

On to the data:

  • Last week, 4 new final regulations were published in the Federal Register, after 10 the previous week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every 42 hours.
  • Federal agencies have issued 16 final regulations in 2019. At that pace, there will be 236 new final regulations. Last year’s total was 3,367 regulations.
  • Last week, 211 new pages were added to the Federal Register, after 85 pages the previous week.
  • The 2019 Federal Register totals 406 pages. It is on pace for 5,971 pages. The 2018 total was 68,082 pages. The all-time record adjusted page count (which subtracts skips, jumps, and blank pages) is 96,994, set in 2016.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. No such rules have been published this year, with just one since last June 12. Six such rules were published in 2018.
  • The running compliance cost tally for 2019’s economically significant regulations is currently zero. The 2018 total ranges from $220.1 million to $2.54 billion, depending on discount rates and other assumptions.
  • Agencies have published no final rules meeting the broader definition of “significant” so far this year. 2018’s total was 108 significant final rules.
  • So far in 2019, 2 new rules affect small businesses; none of them are classified as significant. 2018’s totals were 660 rules affecting small businesses, 29 of them significant.

All of last week’s new final regulations:

For more data, see Ten Thousand Commandments and follow @10KC and @RegoftheDay on Twitter.

Jeffrey Kluger – Apollo 8: The Thrilling Story of the First Mission to the Moon

Jeffrey Kluger – Apollo 8: The Thrilling Story of the First Mission to the Moon

This one was hard to put down. An exciting account of the first time men flew to the moon and orbited around it. Less than a year later, Apollo 11 would actually land on the moon and Neil Armstrong would utter his famous words. But he couldn’t have done it without the Apollo 8 team paving the way through many difficulties, both physical and political.

NAFTA/USMCA Ratification Politics

A story in Canada’s The Globe and Mail quotes me on the NAFTA/USMCA trade deal negotiations between Congress and President Trump. The article is behind a paywall, but here’s my cameo:

There is also the possibility that the Democrats will use it as a bargaining chip to force the administration to agree to unrelated party priorities: The Democrats are pushing for more infrastructure spending, improved health care and immigration changes.

“USMCA has a great deal of symbolic value to the Trump administration. The President will lose face if he can’t get it passed,” said Ryan Young, a trade expert at the Competitive Enterprise Institute think tank. “That means House Democrats hold all the cards. They can refuse to pass USMCA out of spite, or they can offer to ratify USMCA in exchange for concessions.”

Ken Kesey – One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest

Ken Kesey – One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest

This novel likely played a role in the move away from institutionalization for mental health patients, and more humane treatment for those who genuinely needed it.

It is also a parable for the hierarchical, rules-for-rules’-sake approach to life versus a more free-spirited approach. Both are bad in excess, but the one personified by Nurse Ratched is inarguably worse.

Ian Kershaw – Hitler: 1936-1945 Nemesis

Ian Kershaw – Hitler: 1936-1945 Nemesis

The second volume, covering the buildup, the war years, and Hitler’s death. It’s amazing how many times throughout the book I thought “that’s horrible, that’s like something the Nazis would… oh, right.”

No matter how many books one reads about the Holocaust, Holodomor, gulag, Maoist China, north Korea, and the like, it remains shocking what people can do to each other. These things really happened.

Ian Kershaw – Hitler: 1889-1936 Hubris

Ian Kershaw – Hitler: 1889-1936 Hubris

Another book I read due to my recent interest in populism. This is the first of a two-part work, generally considered the definitive Hitler biography. Kershaw’s approach is that individuals matter, but larger cultural and economic forces are more important for explaining how the Third Reich and its atrocities were possible.

Hitler was not an interchangeable cog. But the times matter, not just the man. Hitler would have been just another mostly harmless drudge without wounded post-WWI German pride, worldwide depression, and intellectual fads including left and right totalitarianism, progressive eugenics theory, and a widespread casual acceptance of racism.

This opening volume traces Hitler’s birth and childhood through his World War I experience, artistic failures and radicalization in Vienna, and his political rise. It ends when he is firmly established as Chancellor, ready to make war again. Despite Kershaw’s institutions-over-individuals approach, he gives Hitler ample personal attention, and the effect is chilling on both levels.

Anthony de Jasay – The State

Anthony de Jasay – The State

This book consists of five chapters. The first imagines what society would look like without any state at all; the last imagines a total state. The chapters in between look at in-between states. De Jasay shares deep insights in social contract theory. For example, states compete with each other in a Hobbesian state of nature, even if individuals no longer do.

Jasay is also skeptical of utilitarianism as a guide to public policy. Because interpersonal utility comparisons are impossible, it is impossible to honestly tell other people what is best for them. This is a major impediment to well-intentioned arguments for state intervention.

Masaji Ishikawa – A River in Darkness: One Man’s Escape from North Korea

Masaji Ishikawa – A River in Darkness: One Man’s Escape from North Korea

Ishikawa was born in Japan in 1947 to a Korean father and Japanese mother. His family moved to north Korea when he was 13. This turned out to be a mistake, and it took him 36 years to escape. Ishikawa’s story is one of hunger, pain, loneliness, drudgery, heartbreak, and loss.

North Korea also has a rigid caste system. Anyone with Japanese lineage or family connections was essentially an untouchable, making Ishikawa’s life even harder. Fortunately, he at least managed to stay out of the north Korean gulag.

As most memoirs do, some parts seem a little exaggerated, especially his early years in Japan, which were dominated by an abusive and thuggish father—who made the fateful decision to move to north Korea rather than South Korea, where he was born. The move changed his father’s personality for the better almost overnight. But Ishikawa does not portray himself as a saint, regretting more than one instance where he inherited his father’s temper.

More to the point, Ishikawa tells stories from the inside of a nation-scale human rights tragedy. By bringing attention to the issue, he is helping to make things better one day. Even if he has not yet found happiness for himself after his escape–a common theme in other north Korean escapee memoirs I’ve read–Ishikawa has still done an immense amount of good for others. May he find some peace in knowing that.

Minimum Wages Have Tradeoffs

Quoted in an article noting that minimum wages are not a free benefit; they come with tradeoffs.

Walter Isaacson – Steve Jobs

Walter Isaacson – Steve Jobs

A biography of the Apple co-founder. Isaacson captures Jobs’ multifaceted character. Jobs created life-changing innovations that improved millions of lives in fields as diverse as hardware, software, movies, music, and retail. He cofounded what would become the world’s most valuable company, and untold thousands of jobs. His minimalist design aesthetic has influenced countless other industries.

But Jobs had an artist’s difficult temperament, wasn’t much of a father, and could be hurtful to people he loved and who loved him. His odd new age beliefs are partly to blame for his likely avoidable death from pancreatic cancer. He was diagnosed at an early and likely treatable stage, but insisted on holding off medical treatment for nearly a year, preferring instead such measures as an alternative diet. Jobs was a great man, but not a good one in all ways.