The Crime of Disagreeing


This is what happens to people who disagree with Robert Mugabe. The man in the picture is Morgan Tsvangirai. He is the leader of Zimbabwe’s opposition party, the Movement for Democratic Change. In March of last year he was arrested and beaten for the crime of favoring different policies than Mugabe.

In recent elections Tsvangirai’s MDC took over the parliament. He is also probably the rightful President; he almost certainly beat Mugabe in the election. Zimbabwe is not known for fair elections, though. Tsvangirai still has to go through a run-off election against Mugabe in June.

The Washington Post reports that Tsvangirai just returned home after spending seven weeks abroad for safety reasons. Inflation is now estimated at over one million percent. The economy is in shambles. People are starving. Let us hope that Tsvangirai stays safe, even if he has different ideas than Robert Mugabe.

You Know it’s a Slow News Day When…

One of CNN’s top stories is “Indiana Jones movie upsets communists.”

Spygate

I have an article over at The American Spectator Online on Sen. Specter’s odd involvement in the NFL’s Spygate scandal.

Lessons in Subway Etiquette

I had the most delicious experience riding the subway to work yesterday morning.

The train was packed to the gills, as usual. It was difficult to make room for the people exiting the train at each stop. A tourist — I could tell by his khaki shorts and bulky suitcase — was sitting comfortably in a seat; those around him stood.

Seeing me having to step this way and that to make room for others, he loudly remarked to his friend, “I think this guy needs a train-riding lesson.”

I heard him, loud and clear. Discretion being the better part of valor, I held my tongue.

A couple of stops later, he and his friend got off the train. He stumbled and had a bit of trouble navigating to the exit. I took the opportunity to look him right in the eye and calmly tell him, “I think you need a train-riding lesson.”

He audibly groaned. The look of embarrassment on his face was priceless.

The Epidemiology of Protectionism

Right now South Korea is working toward a free trade agreement with the U.S. It could increase trade between the two nations by $20 billion. Unfortunately, a mad cow disease scare could prevent that from happening.

The hysteria started when the first U.S. case of mad cow disease was detected in 2003. To put it in context, mad cow afflicted a single cow out of the more than 35 million slaughtered that year. That 1-in-35-million ratio has roughly held since then. U.S. beef is safe.

But South Koreans don’t seem to think so. U.S. beef was immediately banned. After quietly simmering in the background, the embargo has been cautiously eased in fits and starts. Last month, President Lee Myung-Bak proposed lifting most restrictions on importing U.S. beef. Politically, the timing could not have been worse. The Korean media has been in hysterics, adding tension to already fragile negotiations.

Korea’s domestic beef lobby has been more than happy to stoke the flames of fear. “Our competitor’s product will kill you,” seems to be their message, with the implied “only buy from us.” People believe them, too.

This is a shame. The benefits to all Koreans from freer trade far outweigh the benefits to a single industry from preferential treatment.

Truth be told, both sides are to blame for the U.S.-Korea trade impasse. Here in the U.S., the tide has also been turning protectionist. The arguments that American liberalization opponents are using are about as sound as their Korean equivalents.

One news outlet said that 94% of Koreans carry a special gene that makes them more susceptible to mad cow disease. That claim has since been exposed as fraudulent. In America, people like Lou Dobbs are claiming that trade costs jobs; but America has gained 26 million net jobs since NAFTA was passed. Wages are higher, too.

Empirical data and economic theory are both on the side of free trade. The people negotiating the U.S.-Korea trade agreement would do well to remember that, even if both the media and public sentiment are against them.

Net Neutrality: Priorities, Please

All data are not treated equally on the Internet. There is only so much bandwidth to go around, so service providers give higher priority to certain types of data. Internet telephony and other time-sensitive applications like video games are sent through the Internet’s “express lanes,” while less urgent data sit in traffic. Comcastdoes this with BitTorrent file-sharing, for example. Prioritizing data is an efficient way to use the Internet’s limited resources.

But ISPs may one day offer express treatment for an additional charge. Such arrangements could benefit consumers and therefore should be legal, regardless of whether they materialize. Under such arrangements, YouTube, Amazon Unbox, or Apple’s iTunes Store could pay money for providers to give their sites the express-lane treatment. This would give service providers an incentive to build more and faster broadband infrastructure–where there is money to be made.

Congress thinks this is a problem. An antitrust problem, specifically. Reps. John Conyers (D-MI) and Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) have introduced a bill that would amend the Clayton Antitrust Act to “ensure competitive and non-discriminatory access to the Internet.” Providers would still be allowed to prioritize different kinds of data. But service providers would be barred from charging money to do it, in the name of what is called net neutrality.

The ban, of course, would reduce incentives for providers to expand and improve bandwidth. The result: a slower Internet for everyone. This consequence may be unintended, but it is not unforeseeable. Reps. Conyers and Lofgren should know better.

The faster that infrastructure is built, the faster that even the lowest-priority data will reach its destination. But new infrastructure won’t be built unless companies have an incentive to build it. Conyers-Lofgren hurts that incentive.

It gets worse. The Conyers-Lofgren bill is not the only game in town. It joins a similar, though less extreme effort by Reps. Ed Markey (D-MA) and Chip Pickering (R-MS). Net neutrality is a bipartisan issue, unfortunately. Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner (R-WI) is another Republican who has publicly favored net neutrality. Every year it seems more and more likely that Congress will pass some kind of net neutrality bill.

All of these politicians have good intentions. Equality is a desirable thing in many cases, after all. But policies should be judged by their consequences, not their intentions. The long-run effect of net neutrality bills–particularly Conyers-Lofgren–would be to slow the growth of broadband. As in so many other areas, Congress would best serve the country by leaving well enough alone.

A Specter is Haunting the NFL

Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA) wants the federal government to open an investigation of the NFL’s Spygate scandal.

For those not in the know, the New England Patriots are accused of taping other teams’ signals from the bench. That is against league rules.

We are fighting two wars. Economic growth is slowing down. Entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare are headed for financial meltdowns.

Sen. Specter’s solution? Involve the federal government in a sports league’s internal affairs.

Priorities please, Senator.

On the other hand, any time the Senate spends bungling this issue is time they can’t spend bungling more important matters. Maybe there’s a silver lining to this political grandstanding, after all.

Postage Rates to Rise on Monday

The Forever Stamp is a great idea. When postage rates rise to 42 cents on Monday, we won’t have to bother with those infernal penny stamps.

But I think there’s a downside here; people are becoming less sensitive to postage price increases. Not that I devote my life to tracking the price of postage, but this was the first I’d heard of the increase. Two days in advance. Usually there’s a little more notice for these things. People needed the time to buy those accursed one and two-cent stamps. Not anymore.

And increases will happen more frequently than before, too. According to CNN, the USPS increases may become an annual affair each May. People might not even notice.

I’ll still take the Forever Stamp, (potential) drawbacks and all. They’re just so convenient.

TruckNutz Update

Remember the kerfuffle in Florida over, of all things, fake testicles on the back of pickup trucks?

Via Fark, the situation has resolved itself. As expected, the TruckNutz ban did not pass. Kudos to Florida Senator Carey Baker for making the attempt, though. All the time that the legislature wasted debating his ban was time not spent hurting the state’s economy.

I love it when legislatures waste their time on silliness. More, please.

Are We in a Recession?

Short answer: no.

The reason is that GDP is growing, according to numbers released this morning. It grew 0.6% last quarter. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP.

Now, 0.6% is certainly slower than we’d like to see. It may even be revised downward in the coming weeks. We all know the economy is not in ideal health right now.

But a recession? Not according to the definition economists have exclusively used for decades.

That doesn’t make for very exciting news. But there’s an easy way around that: just make up a new definition for “recession.” Make it mean anything you want it to.

Josh Bivens of the Economic Policy Institute did just that. What he told CNN certainly sounds more exciting than the bland truth:

“Despite the barely-positive growth, we are almost certainly in a recession. There’s nothing magical about staying above zero.”

Bivens might as well be a character in Alice in Wonderland:

‘When I use a word,’ Humpty Dumpty said, in a rather scornful tone,’ it means just what I choose it to mean, neither more nor less.’

It is important that when we use a word like recession, we all mean the same thing. Confusing people by introducing multiple definitions doesn’t do anybody any good. Well, except maybe for reporters and press-hungry pundits.