Book Review: Ashlee Vance – Elon Musk: Tesla, SpaceX, and the Quest for a Fantastic Future

Ashlee Vance – Elon Musk: Tesla, SpaceX, and the Quest for a Fantastic Future (New York: HarperCollins, 2015)

This is an authorized biography, so take it with a grain of salt. Musk is an interesting person whose flaws and accomplishments are both outsized. I was also unaware that Musk is an immigrant, born and raised in South Africa—yet another data point in favor of loosening restrictions against immigrants, who tend to be more entrepreneurial than us native-born Americans.

Musk’s reliance on government subsidies and tax breaks do not get nearly enough attention, and dull some of his sheen. On the positive side of the ledger, Musk is easily one of the highest-profile practitioners of what the Mercatus Center’s Adam Thierer calls “permissionless innovation.” Vance’s stories of Musk telling off innovators and proving stodgy competitors wrong are satisfying; though not so much the stories of how he treats many of his engineers and other employees. His often-humorous trolling also adds some irreverence to a business culture that could use a little more of it; innovation itself is a tacit rebuke of past generations.

The ethos of permissionless innovation is good not just for business, but for politics and culture. Widespread delegitimization of regulators and their rules would do more to limit their power than just about any reform bill Congress could pass. This is an important point many reformers overlook. Individual rules matter, but the institutions that generate those rules matter more. But in the long run, what generates those institutions? Cultural norms. One of the reasons Musk left South Africa is because its culture, barely a generation removed from apartheid, is not exactly innovation-friendly or market-friendly—and its political institutions reflect that. America turned out be a much better fit.

Unlike many green entrepreneurs, Musk believes in what he is selling. He has put almost all of his own money at risk over the years, and has very nearly lost everything more than once. His frenemy and fellow PayPal alum Peter Thiel has had a longtime policy of not investing in green startups because they don’t pan out. Musk, though still subsidy-reliant, has so far proven an exception to the rule with Tesla. While its ultimate fate is still unclear, its recent listing on the S&P 500 bodes well.

One place where Vance’s too-frequent Steve Jobs comparisons make sense is that Musk has something similar to what Jobs’ friends and enemies called his “reality distortion field.” Jobs had a rare charisma and intensity that made people buy into his vision, and work impossibly hard to make moonshot projects happen. Jobs did it with Apple’s computers and phones, and Musk has done it with cars and rockets.

While Musk’s long-term dream of colonizing Mars is unlikely to come to pass during his lifetime, it won’t be because the technology isn’t there. Most of it already exists in his current line of space vehicles. I am not alone in being extremely curious to see what happens next.

Book Review: Rebecca Wragg Sykes – Kindred: Neanderthal Life, Love, Death and Art

Rebecca Wragg Sykes – Kindred: Neanderthal Life, Love, Death and Art (London: Bloomsbury Sigma, 2020)

Each chapter begins with a vignette written in purple prose that is, at times, a little cringey. Once that awkwardness is out of the way, Sykes takes a series of excellent deep dives into different aspects of neanderthal life. Topics include neanderthals’ evolutionary path, their anatomy, tool-making, hunting techniques, social structures, diets, and more. Neanderthals were also artists, with clearly intentional ornamenting of shells showing up in sites dating as far back as 500,000 years ago–more than twice as old as our species.

The most significant difference between neanderthals and Homo sapiens is our social lives. Simply put, sapiens tend to have more complex social relations. Neanderthals, Sykes believes, lived in bands of about 25 people, compared to 50-150 people for our species during its hunter-gatherer days–and millions of people today.

Moreover, while neanderthal artifacts such as obsidian were known to travel a few hundred miles from their origin sites, Sykes believes they were carried by their original owners on their travels. They seem not to have been traders. Sapiens’ artifacts travel more widely, and are too diverse in origin for one person to have made, kept, and carried by themselves. They have to have traded for them from faraway specialists.

Neanderthals did have some division of labor, evidenced through different wear patterns on men’s and women’s teeth, which become more pronounced with age. This indicates more than women gathering while men hunted. Neanderthal women used their teeth in craft-making tasks such as threading, which created tell-tale wear patterns.

Neanderthals had the same family attachments that we have–unsurprising in a species close enough for us to interbreed with–and also had funeral ceremonies that evolved over time. Chillingly, these apparently often involved ritual cannibalism. Scientists can tell this from bone marks. The consistent tidiness of the patterns and the lack of defensive wounds suggest organized ritual, rather than murder.

An overlooked difference between our two species is in our shoulders. Homo sapiens are practically throwing specialists compared to the rest of the animal kingdom. It shows in our brain activity—being able to calculate parabolic trajectories and distances on the fly—and in our anatomy. Our shoulder joints are shaped in such a way that we can throw harder and with more accuracy than other primates.

While neanderthals were capable throwers, they didn’t have quite the same degree of adaptation for it. As a result, while many of our spears were clearly designed solely for throwing, neanderthal spears look to have been dual-use. They could be thrown, but their sturdier design was also good for stabbing and slashing. This is consistent with common injuries seen in neanderthal bones, which are consistent with close-quarters hunting of large mammals.

Perhaps most intriguingly, Sykes argues that neanderthals’ end as a distinct species had more to do with assimilation than with competition—and might have happened after the mostly Europe-based nenaderthal species migrated all the way to China.

My own theory has more to do with neanderthals’ smaller group size. As Adam Smith said, the division of labor is limited by the extent of the market. Smaller group size means a less refined division of labor, and less specialization. This was compounded by the fact that neanderthals engaged in less trade than Homo sapiens. Our larger group size, plus our tendency to trade over long distances was a double blessing for our species, and a double curse for neanderthals.

This is compatible with Sykes’ assimilation thesis–and most modern humans have 1 or 2 percent neanderthal DNA. But over the long run, my hunch is that sociability, trade, and division of labor were the engines that mostly drove that car.

Book Review: Walter Williams – All It Takes Is Guts: A Minority View

Walter Williams – All It Takes Is Guts: A Minority View (Washington: Regnery, 1987)

A collection of Williams’ syndicated columns. He covers a variety of issues including race and gender, regulation, economic policy, and more. While much of the numbers and political personalities are dated at this point, the core debates are very much alive.

Many of the best columns come from William’s overlooked research on apartheid-era South Africa. He went on a research and speaking tour there in 1980. He found that apartheid, as most racism does, had a sharp anti-capitalist underpinning. This directly contradicts many Western activists’ views. If socialism means significant state ownership of the means of production, then South Africa had a socialist economy. Williams argued that “if socialists would convert to Christianity, they would find themselves quite comfortable in South Africa.”

State intervention was necessary to enforce apartheid because discrimination is bad for business. It denies shuts out large numbers of people from the economy for no good reason. A lot of South Africans would not follow apartheid-style rules voluntarily, including many people who were genuinely racist. The South African government overruled markets’ anti-racism with state-owned media, oil, and other industries.

Labor regulations such as minimum wages were enforced for openly racist reasons. Blacks generally were paid less than whites, so minimum wages essentially either shut Black workers out, or gave white workers first crack at any job. Minimum wage regulations in America were passed during the Progressive Era for the same reason. They continue to have similar effects on minority employment, even though this is no longer intended.

Williams also argued that well-meaning American efforts to disinvest from South Africa would backfire for two reasons. One, American investment in South Africa was a small share of total foreign investment there, and an even smaller share of total investment. Few people would notice. Two, the areas where Americans did invest tended to disproportionately involve Black workers, such as mining. American disinvestment would hurt Black workers there, while doing nothing to end apartheid. Fortunately, this became a moot point before too long. Racism remains a severe problem in South African culture, though, and likely will for generations to come.

From a historical perspective, it is interesting to see how far ahead of the curve Williams was during apartheid. He opposed racism the same as everyone else with a conscience. But he took the time to actually research the situation, travel to South Africa, learn about the situation on the ground, and then propose policies—economic and political liberalization and cultural engagement—that would actually do good, rather than just signal good intentions.

Book Review: Rob Dunn – Never Home Alone: From Microbes to Millipedes, Camel Crickets, and Honeybees, the Natural History of Where We Live

Rob Dunn – Never Home Alone: From Microbes to Millipedes, Camel Crickets, and Honeybees, the Natural History of Where We Live (New York: Basic Books, 2018)

This is the kind of book that will make you see your home differently, mostly in a good way. It’s not nearly as icky and creep-crawly as the title makes it sound. Dunn delights in having found a hole in the “market” for scientific research. Most scientists go out in the field to do research, to the point that the places where we spend most of our time are among the least studied by naturalists. Dunn saw this opening and has made a fascinating career of working closer to home—though in the age of COVID-19, he likely has more company than he used to.

Dunn’s methods are also notable. He is a fan of crowdsourcing. For years, he has engaged the public to help him with sample-collecting and species identification. The amateur research he has encouraged has led to countless discoveries of new species and ecological niches. Some of the discoverers are as young as 8 years old. Backyard science turns out to be more than a fun activity. There are legitimate scientific discoveries waiting to be made by anyone with a little curiosity, not just professional scientists.

Something that is both obvious and overlooked is that our homes are full of extreme environments. And as a result, extremophiles that were once thought to be exotic are, in fact, extremely common in human environments. Our freezers are as cold as Antarctica, and some of the same, harmless microbes live in both places. Ovens regularly produce temperatures found only in ocean vents and deep beneath the earth’s crust—and host some of the same, harmless species. Our showers and water heaters mimic conditions of geothermal springs. In fact showers host some of the same, harmless, thermophilic bacteria that were once thought only to live in hot springs. Of course, Legionnaire’s disease also thrives in the same environment, but can’t withstand extremophile temperatures. So if you feel guilty about taking a hot shower or bath, don’t. They’re actually safer.

Household microbes and arthropods are nothing to be scared of. They have been in our homes for centuries—precisely as disease rates have plummeted and life expectancy and infant mortality have reached their lowest levels in human history. Just as cats kept rodents and their diseases and feces out of granaries, the spiders in your basement keep fly populations in check. If you like being around lots of flies, all you have to do is kill the spiders. As it turns out, delicate population equilibriums are constantly balancing themselves within feet of you while you sit on your couch and watch tv.

Spaces stations such as Mir and the ISS played/play host to many of the same species as our houses. Wherever we go, there they are. As humanity expands its ambitions in space, this will take on enormous importance. We cannot live without our symbiotic species. At the same time, they can’t overrun our artificial environments. Dunn shows how everyday environments turn out to be fascinating. And his lack of snobbery and emphasis on inclusion are something scientists in every field should learn from.

Book Review: Tim Mackintosh-Smith – Arabs: A 3,000-Year History of Peoples, Tribes and Empires

Tim Mackintosh-Smith – Arabs: A 3,000-Year History of Peoples, Tribes and Empires

A very good survey history written by an Oxford-educated Brit who has lived in Yemen for much of his adult life. This book is especially interesting when read with Azar Gat’s thesis on nationalism in mind. Gat is worth summarizing to better understand Mackintosh-Smith. Gat views nationalism as both ancient and based on ethnicity. Ethnicity, for Gat, is broader than race or genetics, though it includes both of those things. Ethnicities share, in varying degrees, things like language, culture, religion, dress, dietary customs, and more. The list is long, and it can vary, though language is often the most important. The common thread is that taken together, these cultural markers are strong enough to band people together in an in-group that is easy to distinguish from out-groups.

Ethnicities are similar to the small tribal groups our species has lived in for nearly its entire 200,000-year span, just larger in scale. Nation-states, which are historically a very recent concept—just a few centuries old in most of the world—are an additional step up in scale. They are simply one more way for our evolutionarily-ingrained sense of ethnicity to express itself. A lot of today’s nationalism-related troubles are due to square political pegs not fitting into round cultural or in-group holes, which are always moving around and changing shape anyway.

With Gat’s framework in mind, Mackintosh-Smith’s affectionately argued thesis in this book suddenly makes a lot of sense. To Mackintosh-Smith, Arabs are simultaneously among the world’s most unified and its most fractious peoples. They have the Arabic language in common—Gat’s most important unifying ingredient. People in Morocco, Syria, Iraq, Tajikistan, and as far East as Pakistan can all speak to each other in Arabic and have little trouble understanding each other. But High Arabic is also a bit like Latin was in post-Roman Europe: a formal, stilted lingua franca. Many Arabs speak a different local language at home and in everyday life. So Arabs are at the same time united by language, and not.

Arabs also have Islam in common. But the Sunni-Shia split still has echoes today, and sets Shi’ite Iran apart from most other Arab Islamic countries. Just as Christianity has its million and one different flavors of Catholicism, Protestantism, Evangelicalism, and Orthodoxy, Islam has its different flavors of Sufism, Wahabbism, and on down the line, each with ancient, modern, moderate, and radical versions. So Arabs are at the same time united by Islam, and not.

One thing most Arabs have in common is a nomadic heritage. This has made imposing the new convention of national boundaries very difficult, if not impossible. Not only do some people still move across the new boundaries with some mixture of indifference and impunity, the very notion of national boundaries is a very new concept in Arabs’ 3,000-year history. So Arabs are at the same time united by their nomadic history, and divided by it.

Also in the mix is a cultural divide between the few remaining nomads and the now-majority city dwellers, and there is another ingredient in the unified-but-not mix.

Mackintosh-Smith, though likely unfamiliar with Gat’s work on nationalism, is aware of all those competing dynamics. At each stage of his chronological narrative, most of those facets of Arabic life are there, from the establishment of settled agriculture to pre-Islamic empires, to Muhammad himself and the Ummayad caliphate, its succeeding Abbasid caliphate, its eventual displacement by the Ottomans, and on to today’s independent states, unity and discord are always there in tension with each other. It is a fascinating story.

This Week in Ridiculous Regulations

COVID vaccine rollout has started. While immunizing millions of people will take several months, it looks like the worst is almost past. For scientists to come up with a vaccine for a brand-new disease in about one year is an achievement without precedent in human history. Public policy lessons abound about the need for openness and cooperation, letting innovation happen, speeding up regulatory approvals, and cleaning out #NeverNeeded regulations. President Trump’s final Federal Register, at 82,254 pages and counting, is already the longest ever issued by a Republican president, with two weeks left in the year. Regulatory agencies issued new regulations ranging from showerheads to steroids.

On to the data:

  • Last week, 85 new final regulations were published in the Federal Register, after 67 the previous week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every one hour and 59 minutes.
  • Federal agencies have issued 3,242 final regulations in 2020. At that pace, there will be 3,335 new final regulations. Last year’s total was 2,964 regulations.
  • There were 43 proposed regulations in the Federal Register last week, for a total of 2,098 on the year. At that pace, there will be 2,158 new proposed regulations in 2020. Last year’s total was also 2,158 proposed regulations.
  • Last week, agencies published 473 notices, for a total of 21,733 in 2020. At that pace, there will be 22,356 new notices this year. Last year’s total was 21,804.
  • Last week, 2,288 new pages were added to the Federal Register, after 1,881 pages the previous week.
  • The 2020 Federal Register totals 82,524 pages. It is on pace for 84,892 pages. The 2019 total was 70,938 pages. The all-time record adjusted page count (which subtracts skips, jumps, and blank pages) is 96,994, set in 2016.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. Five such rules have been published this year. Four such rules were published in 2019.
  • The running cost tally for 2020’s economically significant regulations ranges from net savings of between $2.04 billion and $5.69 billion. 2019’s total ranges from net savings of $350 million to $650 million, mostly from estimated savings on federal spending. The exact number depends on discount rates and other assumptions.
  • Agencies have published 76 final rules meeting the broader definition of “significant” so far this year. 2019’s total was 66 significant final rules.
  • So far in 2020, 645 new rules affect small businesses; 26 of them are classified as significant. 2019’s totals were 501 rules affecting small businesses, with 22 of them significant.

Highlights from last week’s new regulations:

For more data, see Ten Thousand Commandments and follow @10KC and @RegoftheDay on Twitter.

More Interconnected than Most People Think

From page 70 of Johan Norberg’s 2020 book, Open: The Story of Human Progress:

What we now think of as Western civilization is a combination of a philosophical heritage from the Greeks, religions from the Middle East, creatively interpreted by Romans in what is now Turkey, and scientific ideas borrowed from the Arabs and the Chinese. We got our alphabets from the Phoenicians, and our numbers are called ‘Arabic numerals’ because we learned them from mathematicians in Baghdad, who got them from the Indians.

Third Antitrust Suit against Google since October Based on Flawed Argument

This press release was originally posted on cei.org.

A coalition of more than 30 states and territories today filed an antitrust lawsuit against Google, alleging the search engine has abused its power in markets ranging from voice assistants to digital advertising in an attempt to maintain a monopoly over internet searches. The antitrust lawsuit is the third filed against Google since October.

CEI Senior Fellow Ryan Young said:

“Today’s antitrust lawsuit, the third against Google since October, has a major flaw: the dozen keystrokes argument. It is not difficult to type bing.com or duckduckgo.com into your browser. Google pays Apple as much as $12 billion per year to Apple to have Google be its default search engine. This is apparently not enough to prevent Apple from reportedly building up its own search engine.

“Nor was Microsoft’s similar default status for its Internet Explorer browser enough to stave off competition from Firefox, Google Chrome, Apple Safari, and other browsers. Just as Microsoft never actually controlled the browser market, Google does not control the search market. Consumers do.”

Read more:

To-Do List for 2021: Just Get Rid of AB5

It isn’t just Washington that gets a fresh start in January. California gets one, too. One of the top items on the Golden State’s policy agenda should be getting rid of what’s left of Assembly Bill 5, the controversial gig-worker law. As I argue this morning in several California newspapers, including the Orange County Register:

California’s unemployment rate is at 9.3 percent, compared to 6.7 percent nationally. California voters helped by passing Proposition 22 in November, which exempts app-based rideshare and delivery companies like Uber, Lyft, and DoorDash from California’s Assembly Bill 5 “gig work” law. This comes months after the state legislature passed an “oops” bill to exempt thousands of other workers that AB5 accidentally threw out of work, from journalists to musicians. Now that AB5 no longer applies even to its primary ridesharing targets, the legislature should just get rid of AB5 altogether. Meanwhile, the rest of the country should learn from California’s experiment.

Read the whole piece here. For more on AB5, see other pieces by Ryan RadiaSean Higgins, and me.

Recent Media Appearances

In early November, I was invited on Bob Zadek’s show for a thoughtful hour-long conversation on antitrust law. Audio and an AI-generated transcript are here.

In late October, I was on Jim Blasingame’s Small Business Advocates radio show, also to talk about antitrust.

Earlier this week, I spoke to One News Now’s Chris Woodward about regulations.