Abraham Lincoln on the Separation of Campaigning and Legislating

Abraham Lincoln, when he was a member of the House of Representatives from the Whig party, supported Zachary Taylor’s 1848 presidential candidacy. This was in part because he thought Taylor would be a weak executive. As David Herbert Donald writes on p. 127 of his 1994 biography Lincoln:

The proper Whig policy ought to be one of “making Presidential elections, and the legislation of the country, distinct matters; so that the people can elect whom they please, and afterwards, legislate just as they please, without any hindrance [from the Chief Executive], save only so much as may guard against infractions of the Constitution, undue haste, and want of consideration.”

Lincoln would change his tune when he became president himself. There is also more to successful executive restraint than this. And there is need for stricter legislative restraints, too. But on the whole, this is a healthier vision of executive power and the president’s proper role than what we have endured over the last few decades.

CEI Event: Agenda for Congress

CEI hosted a launch event yesterday for our biennial Agenda for Congress. Sen. Rand Paul gave the keynote address. My colleagues Sean Higgins, Iain Murray, and I spoke about the Agenda‘s reforms for labor, trade, and regulatory policy, respectively.

The event is on YouTube here. The Agenda for Congress is here.

Agenda for Congress: Regulatory Reform

CEI’s new agenda for Congress is out now. If you’re interested only in certain issues, individual chapters are downloadable here. We also hosted a launch event yesterday featuring Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY).

The first chapter is on regulatory reform. The focus here is not so much on individual rules, but on the rulemaking process itself. If there is a key message, it is that institutions matter. If you want a better game, you need better rules for the game. Effective reforms don’t just treat symptoms; they treat root causes, too.

To that end, here are a few principles for sound reform:

  • If a rule was not needed during the COVID-19 crisis, it was probably never needed in the first place.
  • Getting rid of specific regulations is not enough. Congress must also reform the systems that create those regulations.
  • Congress—not just the executive—needs to be involved in reform.
  • Congress should require agencies to be more transparent about the regulations they issue and their cost.
  • Remember that regulations are made and enforced by the real-world government we have, not the ideal government we want.
  • Introduce reform bills, even if they won’t pass right now. They need to be ready when the moment is right. It is also important to keep reform ideas and conversations alive. Sometimes the most impactful legislation is introduced knowing full well it will not become law.

We also suggest specific reforms based on these principles:

  • Require transparency for “regulatory dark matter.” This includes guidance documents, announcements, and even press releases and blog posts, which agencies use to make policy changes without going through the proper rulemaking process. Rep. Bob Good’s (R-VA) recently introduced Guidance Out of Darkness (GOOD) Act would do this for guidance documents.
  • Require Congress to vote on all new major agency regulations. Agencies often issue regulations that are not in accordance with congressional legislation. This would provide a check against such abuses. The recently reintroduced Reforms from the Executive in Need of Scrutiny (REINS) Act, sponsored by Sens. Todd Young (R-IN) and Rand Paul, would do this. See also my paper on the REINS Act.
  • Annual regulatory report cards for agencies containing important information, such as their major current and planned rules, their cost, and more. Rep. Paul Gosar (R-AZ) introduced a bill last year to implement a version of this idea.
  • A Regulatory Reduction Commission to repeal outdated and harmful rules. I wrote about this idea here and here. The Pandemic Preparedness, Response, and Recovery Act would establish a COVID-focused version of this idea. It was sponsored last Congress by Rep. Virginia Foxx (R-NC) and Sens. James Lankford (R-OK), Ron Johnson (R-WI), and Rob Portman (R-OH).
  • Automatic sunsets for all new regulations. All regulations should automatically expire after 10 years unless Congress votes to reauthorize them. This will make it easier for obsolete rules to stop doing harm.
  • Publish a federal regulatory budget. Congress is required, at least in theory, to create an annual budget for government spending. It should be required to do the same for regulatory costs.

These reforms should apply to independent agencies as well as cabinet-level agencies. Independent agencies, which constitute roughly two thirds of all rulemaking agencies, are currently exempt from many transparency and rulemaking requirements that apply to other agencies. This is bad institutional design, and should be fixed.

For more ideas, see chapter one of Free to Prosper, CEI’s new agenda for Congress. The entire agenda is here.

This Week in Ridiculous Regulations

Congress passed a $1.9 trillion spending bill, some of which may actually be COVID-related. Agencies issued new rules ranging from eastern hellbenders to reentry licenses.

On to the data:

  • Agencies issued 83 final regulations last week, after 60 the previous week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every two hours and one minute.
  • With 642 final regulations so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 3,415 final regulations this year. 2020’s total was 3,327 final regulations.
  • Agencies issued 63 proposed regulations in the Federal Register last week, after 47 the previous week.
  • With 380 proposed regulations so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 1,887 proposed regulations this year. 2020’s total was 2,021 proposed regulations.
  • Agencies published 432 notices last week, after 428 notices the previous week.
  • With 4,167 notices so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 22,165 notices this year. 2020’s total was 22,480.
  • Last week, 1,069 new pages were added to the Federal Register in a three-day week, after 1,300 pages the previous week.
  • The average Federal Register issue this year contains 302 pages.
  • With 14,216 pages so far, the 2021 Federal Register is on pace for 75,638 pages in 2021. The 2020 total was 87,352 pages. The all-time record adjusted page count (subtracting skips, jumps, and blank pages) is 96,994, set in 2016.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. There are two such rules so far in 2021, none from the last week. Agencies published five economically significant rules in 2020, and four in 2019.
  • The running cost tally for 2021’s economically significant rules ranges from net savings of $100.7 million to net costs of $362.5 million. The 2020 figure ranges from net savings of between $2.04 billion and $5.69 billion, mostly from estimated savings on federal spending. The exact numbers depend on discount rates and other assumptions.
  • Agencies have published 11 final rules meeting the broader definition of “significant” in 2020, with two in the last week. This is on pace for 59 significant rules in 2021. 2020’s total was 79 significant final rules.
  • In 2021, 111 new rules affect small businesses. Two are classified as significant. 2020’s totals were 668 rules affecting small businesses, 26 of them significant.

Highlights from last week’s new regulations:

For more data, see Ten Thousand Commandments and follow @10KC and @RegoftheDay on Twitter.

Why Facebook’s Antitrust Cases Should Be Dropped

Facebook filed today to dismiss antitrust lawsuits against it today by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and several state attorneys general. One of the reasons they should be dismissed is that both cases rely on a textbook example of defining a company’s relevant market artificially narrowly in order to make the company look more dominant than it is.

In its Facebook complaint, the FTC argues that Facebook dominates the market for “personal social networking services.” The states’ case uses the same term. They made it up just for this case. Its specialized definition omits competitors such as TikTok and Twitter. It also omits emerging competitors such as Discord and Clubhouse, and more like them that are sprouting up all over the Internet, a point that will only grow more important as the Facebook case proceeds.

Of course Facebook dominates a market definition that intentionally leaves out most of the competition! Arguments this weak have no place in a courtroom. Any of these competitors could take away Facebook’s market share the same way Facebook supplanted MySpace.

Even this is not the full extent of Facebook’s relevant market. Facebook competes for consumers’ attention against other uses of people’s leisure time, such as Netflix, podcasts, and even in-person socializing. As more people get vaccinated, restaurants, sporting events, movie theaters, and other activities will resume competing against Facebook for peoples’ attention.

Facebook also competes in the advertising market. A common test for market power is whether a company can jack up prices while restricting supply. Facebook does not have market power in the advertising market. Digital ad prices went down by half between 2009 and 2019. Over that same period, print ad prices doubled. In fact, the antitrust complaints argue that Facebook executives worried in internal correspondence that Instagram and WhatsApp would drive down ad prices even farther or faster. Due to the evidence they provide in their own complaints, the FTC and the states will have a difficult time arguing that Facebook had the market power to raise ad prices. In soccer, this is called an own-goal.

Apple and Google, for example, are Facebook’s largest competitors in the ad market. They are both in the process of changing their privacy policies to differentiate themselves from Facebook’s approach, in the hope of luring consumers and ad buyers away from Facebook. Meanwhile, other websites and apps, as well as real-life entertainment options, will never stop competing with Facebook for consumer attention.

In a competitive market like this, Facebook does not have the power to control its fate—consumers do. Facebook and its competitors are engaged in an ongoing discovery process to see what appeals to their customers.

The market process resembles a moving picture that is constantly changing and evolving. Antitrust cases are more like still images of a single frame. A decade ago, critics complained that MySpace was a natural monopoly that could drive out all competition. Now people are making similar arguments against one of those competitors, Facebook. A decade from now, Facebook might still be the largest social network company. Or it might not. Either way, it will not be the same product it is today. It must either continue to adapt its privacy, content moderation, and newsfeed algorithms in ways that people like, or it will lose its dominance. If it stays on top, it is because people like its product. Either way, consumers are in charge. To claim otherwise is unrealistic.

Whether it’s in “personal social networking services,” or an arbitrarily narrow definition of the advertising market, Facebook does not have monopoly power. Nor is there proof of consumer harm. One reason Facebook’s user services are free is because users would flee to other free sites if Facebook were to begin charging them.

Facebook is also unable to stop ad prices from declining. With the ad market essentially on a permanent 50 percent off sale compared to when Facebook became big, the company clearly does not have the ability to set a floor on ad prices. Even if it were to try, prices would continue to fall through their floor because of the competitiveness of the market.

The FTC and the states are unlikely to win on the merits, so they are instead turning to semantic arguments. The FTC and the states should drop their cases. If they don’t, courts should dismiss them.

For more, see a statement from CEI experts, my earlier blog post, Iain Murray’s Fortune article, Wayne Crews’s and my paper “The Case against Antitrust Law,” and CEI’s dedicated antitrust website, antitrust.cei.org.

CEI Experts: Courts Should Dismiss Antitrust Lawsuits against Facebook

This press release was originally posted at cei.org.

Facebook today asked courts to dismiss antitrust lawsuits brought by the Federal Trade Commission and state attorneys general, an outcome supported by the Competitive Enterprise Institute for legal and consumer freedom reasons.

Statement by Kent Lassman, CEI President:

“When neither the facts nor the law are on your side, the only thing left is political muscle. The lawsuits by the FTC and state attorneys general are dangerous political posturing, unrooted in economics or law. They fail on economics because there is no demonstrated consumer harm. They fail on the law because the acquisitions were previously approved and remedies are only available for ongoing, not previous, conduct. Crucially, they fail the test of common sense. Consumers continue to benefit from investment, innovation, and new entrants into the marketplace. Americans have had enough of power poses and posturing. Dismissal of these cases would help renew confidence in free enterprise and the rule of law.”

Statement by Jessica Melugin, Director of CEI’s Center for Technology & Innovation:

“The only question worth asking about Facebook’s acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp is: how did consumers fare? U.S antitrust law is based on consumer harm, and there’s none of that to be found in the lawsuits brought by Federal Trade Commission or state attorneys general against the social media giant. Facebook made WhatsApp free and improved the Instagram app to the tune of a billion satisfied users. No prices have been raised, no output has been restricted, and no consumer has been harmed by these acquisitions. Both lawsuits should be dismissed.”

Statement by Ryan Young, CEI Senior Fellow:

“The Facebook case is a classic example of the relevant market fallacy. The FTC made up its own boutique term for Facebook’s market, ‘personal social networking services,’ which excludes Twitter, TikTok, and other competitors, as well as emerging competitors like Discord and Clubhouse. Of course Facebook dominates a market definition that intentionally leaves out most of the competition! But any of them could take away Facebook’s market share, like Facebook did with MySpace.”

Related analysis:

Commentary: Antitrust Litigation Usually Causes More Harm Than Good. Big Tech Is No Different

Statements: State AG and FTC Antitrust Actions against Facebook Fail to Prove Consumer Harm or Anticompetitive Behavior

Report: U.S. Antitrust’s Greatest Misses

The Case For Repealing Antitrust Law by Fred L. Smith, Jr. (1999)

This Week in Ridiculous Regulations

One sign that the worst of COVID is likely now past is that instead of disease and economic hardship, people got riled up over Mr. Potato’s manhood and the Dr. Seuss estate’s business decisions. Of course, this type of normalcy isn’t very healthy, either. Agencies issued new rules ranging from sleep aids to ship surveyors in Puerto Rico.

On to the data:

  • Agencies issued 60 final regulations last week, after 123 the previous week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every two hours and 48 minutes.
  • With 559 final regulations so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 3,372 final regulations this year. 2020’s total was 3,327 final regulations.
  • Agencies issued 47 proposed regulations in the Federal Register last week, after 87 the previous week.
  • With 317 proposed regulations so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 1,887 proposed regulations this year. 2020’s total was 2,149 proposed regulations.
  • Agencies published 428 notices last week, after 465 notices the previous week.
  • With 3,735 notices so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 22,232 notices this year. 2020’s total was 22,480.
  • Last week, 1,300 new pages were added to the Federal Register in a three-day week, after 1,405 pages the previous week.
  • With 13,247 pages so far, the 2021 Federal Register is on pace for 78.256 pages in 2021. The 2020 total was 87,352 pages. The all-time record adjusted page count (subtracting skips, jumps, and blank pages) is 96,994, set in 2016.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. There are two such rules so far in 2021, none from the last week. Agencies published five economically significant rules in 2020, and four in 2019.
  • The running cost tally for 2021’s economically significant rules ranges from net savings of $100.7 million to net costs of $362.5 million. The 2020 figure ranges from net savings of between $2.04 billion and $5.69 billion, mostly from estimated savings on federal spending. The exact numbers depend on discount rates and other assumptions.
  • Agencies have published nine final rules meeting the broader definition of “significant” in 2020, with none in the last week. This is on pace for 54 significant rules in 2021. 2020’s total was 79 significant final rules.
  • In 2021, 80 new rules affect small businesses. Two are classified as significant. 2020’s totals were 668 rules affecting small businesses, 26 of them significant.

Highlights from last week’s new regulations:

For more data, see Ten Thousand Commandments and follow @10KC and @RegoftheDay on Twitter.

Some Good Tariff News

I’ve written before about the 17-year-long dispute between the United States and the European Union over Boeing and Airbus subsidies. Each jurisdiction has placed tariffs against the other until they drop the subsidies, which, given political realities, will not happen. As a result, tariffs intended to spur reforms are not going to work, but were going to stay in place anyway, and with the World Trade Organization’s blessing.

There is good news to report. Those tariffs will now be suspended for four months, on both sides. In a phone call, President Biden and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen agreed to the suspension to give them time to negotiate further.

The negotiations will likely be unproductive, but the tariffs should still not come back. They affect everything from French wine to American motorcycles—industries that have nothing to do with aerospace, and have done nothing wrong to deserve being hit with tariffs.

Both governments are wrong for subsidizing private businesses like Boeing and Airbus. But neither wants to fix it unless the other side does first. The scene is reminiscent of the Dr. Seuss story “The Zax,” in which two Zax, who only walk forward, both refuse take a step to the side and let the other one by when they come face to face, even though both would benefit.

Most of the Biden administration’s actions so far have indicated that it will keep most of President Trump’s trade barriers, while adding a few of its own with green branding, but this is one area where the administration has taken a step in the right direction.

For more ideas on positive trade policy, see the trade chapter in CEI’s soon-to-be released Agenda for Congress, and CEI’s upcoming event celebrating its release, as well as Iain Murray’s and my paper “Traders of the Lost Ark.”

This Week in Ridiculous Regulations

COVID-19 cases are finally in decline as vaccinations continue, to the point where there is reason for cautious optimism. Congress was busy with a stimulus bill, which will apparently not include a $15 minimum wage. Agencies issued new rules ranging from lumber education to satellite service.

On to the data:

  • Agencies issued 123 final regulations last week, after 37 the previous week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every one hour and 22 minutes.
  • With 499 final regulations so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 3,372 final regulations this year. 2020’s total was 3,353 final regulations.
  • Agencies issued 87 proposed regulations in the Federal Register last week, after 13 the previous week.
  • With 270 proposed regulations so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 1,824 proposed regulations this year. 2020’s total was 2,149 proposed regulations.
  • Agencies published 465 notices last week, after 384 notices the previous week.
  • With 3,307 notices so far in 2021, agencies are on pace to issue 22,345 notices this year. 2020’s total was 22,480.
  • Last week, 1,405 new pages were added to the Federal Register in a four-day week, after 1,005 pages the previous week.
  • With 11,845 pages so far, the 2021 Federal Register is on pace for 80,034 pages in 2021. The 2020 total was 87,352 pages. The all-time record adjusted page count (subtracting skips, jumps, and blank pages) is 96,994, set in 2016.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. There are two such rules so far in 2021, none from the last week. Agencies published five economically significant rules in 2020, and four in 2019.
  • The running cost tally for 2021’s economically significant rules ranges from net savings of $100.7 million to net costs of $362.5 million. The 2020 figure ranges from net savings of between $2.04 billion and $5.69 billion, mostly from estimated savings on federal spending. The exact numbers depend on discount rates and other assumptions.
  • Agencies have published nine final rules meeting the broader definition of “significant” in 2020, with one in the last week. This is on pace for 60 significant rules in 2021. 2020’s total was 79 significant final rules.
  • In 2021, 73 new rules affect small businesses. Two are classified as significant. 2020’s totals were 668 rules affecting small businesses, 26 of them significant.

Highlights from last week’s new regulations:

For more data, see Ten Thousand Commandments and follow @10KC and @RegoftheDay on Twitter.

Federal Minimum Wage Hike will Force Cuts Elsewhere

This is a CEI press statement from February 26, 2021.

With the Democrat-controlled Congress aiming to imminently pass a plan to increase the federally-mandated minimum wage from $7.25 to $15 per hour nationwide as part of a $1.9 trillion Covid-related spending bill, CEI experts warn that foisting that labor cost increase on employers will force them to make painful cuts elsewhere.

Statement by Sean Higgins, CEI Research Fellow

The Raise the Wage Act will make the federal minimum wage $15 an hour because “fight for 15” is a catchy slogan, not because there is definitive economic research saying that is the optimal level to help the working poor. The best the legislation’s fans can say is that they don’t think $15 will hurt that much — evidence contradicted by the Congressional Budget Office report that the legislation will eliminate 1.4 million jobs. The workers who do keep their jobs would likely get fewer hours and benefits and face higher prices as employers adjust. Congress could do better if it asked, “How do we help ensure an economy that creates jobs paying more than the minimum wage?”

Statement by Ryan Young, CEI Senior Fellow

Congress should keep two things in mind about raising the federal minimum wage: regional differences and tradeoffs. Midtown Manhattan and rural Kansas have different costs of living. They should not have the same minimum wage. Second, the tradeoffs to minimum wages go beyond job losses. Workers also make non-wage pay, which employers will cut to offset some of the wage increase. That includes things like insurance, free food or parking, paid time off, and other perks. These non-wage cuts will reduce the impact of any wage increase.

Related:

Minimum Wages Have Tradeoffs: Unintended Consequences of the Fight for 15

The problem with a one-size-fits-all federal minimum wage hike