Category Archives: regulation

CEI’s Battered Business Bureau: The Week in Regulation


This week in the world of regulation:

  • Last week, 48 new final rules were published, down from 61 the previous hurricane-shortened week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every 3 hours and 30 minutes — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • All in all, 3,304 final rules have been published in the Federal Register this year.
  • If this keeps up, the total tally for 2012 will be 3,767 new rules.
  • Last week, 1,846 new pages were added to the 2012 Federal Register, for a total of 69,271 pages.
  • At its current pace, the 2012 Federal Register will run 78,008 pages.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. The 45 such rules published so far in 2012 have compliance costs of at least $24 billion. Two of the rules do not have cost estimates, and two other rules have cost estimates that do not give a total annual cost. We assume that rules lacking this basic transparency measure cost the bare minimum of $100 million per year. The true cost is almost certainly higher.
  • Two economically significant rules were published last week.
  • So far, 319 final rules that meet the broader definition of “significant” have been published in 2012.
  • So far this year, 623 final rules affect small business; 90 of them are significant rules.

Highlights from final rules published last week:

  • Both of this week’s economically significant rules are health care-related. The first rule weighs in at 357 pages, and will increase Medicare spending by $4.571 billion. I am scoring it as zero-cost in our running tally, since this is government spending and not compliance costs.
  • A new OSHA rule regulates longshoremen’s headwear.
  • The second rule alone is 483 pages long. A coherent cost estimate is not given. Since many of the provisions require extensive paperwork and other compliance measures, as opposed to government spending, I am counting it as costing $100 million, the bare minimum needed for its economically significant status. The real cost is almost certainly higher.

For more data, go to TenThousandCommandments.com.

Quote of the Day: Knowing One’s Limits


Many economists and regulators suffer from a kind of physics envy. The hard sciences can quantify precisely and predict accurately via the experimental method. But even after Vernon Smith‘s innovations in experimental economics, the discipline still lacks the scientific precision that, say, an engineer enjoys.

Models, even complicated ones, are necessarily simplifications of unfathomably complicated economic phenomena. Models are also largely unable to account for fickle human elements. This structural limitation has foiled the plans and predictions of many economist-regulators.

Page 247 of the late Thomas McCraw’s superb Prophets of Regulation contains a gem of a quote from Alfred Kahn, the Cornell economist who understood this. It comes from his days advising New York State’s Public Service Commission, which set electricity rates:

[Kahn’s] candor seemed appealing yet, given their training, the engineers naturally preferred precise solutions over rough approximations. To meet their objections, Kahn again and again asked them, “Do you want to be precisely wrong or approximately right?” Ultimately he won them over.

Kahn also played a major role in airline deregulation during the Carter years, though with typical Kahn wit, he immediately demanded a paternity test when someone once referred to him as the father of deregulation. Still, Kahn’s intellectual humility provides a positive example for regulators and economists of all stripes.

Businesses against Deregulation


Most people believe that businesses abhor regulations, and would love to do away with them entirely. This belief is often wrong. Many regulations make it harder for startups to enter the market, and can hobble smaller competitors. That’s why incumbent firms in many industries regularly welcome new regulations with open arms, and will spend millions on lobbying to pass them. It’s a way to keep the competition out.

Here is one historical example from the successful push to deregulate the trucking industry during the 1970s. About the only people who opposed deregulation were in the trucking industry itself. Check out the lengths they went to to preserve anti-competitive regulations:

In the 1978 hearings on trucking before the [Sen. Ted] Kennedy subcommittee, the industry offered the testimony of a paid consultant. Senator Howard M. Metzenbaum, Democrat of Ohio, producing a copy of the consultant’s original proposal, indignantly pointed out that he had essentially promised his study would support regulation before he was hired. Later, in an elaborate statement of its position before the Senate floor debate, the industry gave prominent attention to a purported critique of trucking deregulation by a Stanford University economist. Cited without facts of publication, the source turned out to be a commentary in the Los Angeles Times that was more cautionary than critical and described no research.

-Martha Derthick and Paul J. Quirk, The Politics of Deregulation, p. 125.

Something to keep in mind the next time someone calls a regulatory skeptic an industry shill. The precise opposite is usually the case.

CEI’s Battered Business Bureau: The Week in Regulation


This week in the world of regulation:

  • Last week, 61 new final rules were published, up from 60 the previous hurricane-shortened week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every 2 hours and 46 minutes — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • All in all, 3,256 final rules have been published in the Federal Register this year.
  • If this keeps up, the total tally for 2012 will be 3,795 new rules.
  • Last week, 1,168 new pages were added to the 2012 Federal Register, for a total of 67,425 pages.
  • At its current pace, the 2012 Federal Register will run 77,323 pages.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. The 43 such rules published so far in 2012 have compliance costs of at least $23.9 billion. Two of the rules do not have cost estimates, and a third cost estimate does not give a total annual cost. We assume that rules lacking this basic transparency measure cost the bare minimum of $100 million per year. The true cost is almost certainly higher.
  • One economically significant rule was published last week.
  • So far, 313 final rules that meet the broader definition of “significant” have been published in 2012.
  • So far this year, 610 final rules affect small business; 88 of them are significant rules.

Highlights from final rules published last week:

CEI’s Battered Business Bureau: The Week in Regulation


This week in the world of regulation:

  • In a Hurricane Sandy-shortened work week, 60 new final rules were published, down from 77 the previous week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every 2 hours and 48 minutes — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • All in all, 3,195 final rules have been published in the Federal Register this year.
  • If this keeps up, the total tally for 2012 will be 3,809 new rules.
  • Last week, 901 new pages were added to the 2012 Federal Register, for a total of 66,257 pages.
  • At its current pace, the 2012 Federal Register will run 78,504 pages.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. The 42 such rules published so far in 2012 have compliance costs of at least $23.9 billion. Two of the rules do not have cost estimates, and a third cost estimate does not give a total annual cost. We assume that rules lacking this basic transparency measure cost the bare minimum of $100 million per year. The true cost is almost certainly higher.
  • One economically significant rule was published last week.
  • So far, 307 final rules that meet the broader definition of “significant” have been published in 2012.
  • So far this year, exactly 600 final rules affect small business; 85 of them are significant rules.

Highlights from final rules published last week:

For more data, go to TenThousandCommandments.com.

CEI’s Battered Business Bureau: The Week in Regulation

This week in the world of regulation:

  • Last week, 77 new final rules were published, up from 71 the previous week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every 2 hours and 11 minutes — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • All in all, 3,135 final rules have been published in the Federal Register this year.
  • If this keeps up, the total tally for 2012 will be 3,825 new rules.
  • Last week, 1,043 new pages were added to the 2012 Federal Register, for a total of 64,313 pages.
  • At its current pace, the 2012 Federal Register will run 78,553 pages.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. The 41 such rules published so far in 2012 have compliance costs of at least $23.9 billion. Two of the rules do not have cost estimates, and a third cost estimate does not give a total annual cost. We assume that rules lacking this basic transparency measure cost the bare minimum of $100 million per year. The true cost is almost certainly higher.
  • No economically significant rules were published last week.
  • So far, 304 final rules that meet the broader definition of “significant” have been published in 2012.
  • So far this year, 588 final rules affect small business; 85 of them are significant rules.

Highlights from final rules published last week:

For more data, go to TenThousandCommandments.com.

Regulation in Theory vs. Practice

Regulation is traditionally justified in three ways. One is the presence of externalities, such as a factory that pollutes a stream and affects its neighbors. Another is information asymmetry; think of a used car dealer who knows more about his wares than his customers do. Third is monopoly, where a firm can jack up its prices and lower its output without fear of competitors swooping in.

That’s the theory, anyway. Robert Litan and William Nordhaus know that the reality is very different. On page 34 or their 1983 classic Reforming Federal Regulation, they write:

In theory, regulation should arise as a response to market failures. In practice, regulation is more accurately characterized as a government tool for redistributing society’s resources toward those groups that have successfully enlisted the support of the government on their behalf.

Indeed. This public choice-influenced view is a far more useful tool than the traditional theory if the goal is to understand how regulators and regulated actually behave.

For example, the 50 biggest-spending lobbying groups spent $176 million on lobbying from July through September this year. If agencies weren’t cranking out 3,800 new rules per year, and if the Code of Federal Regulations wasn’t 169,000 pages long, it is unlikely that so much money would flow into Washington.

Externalities, asymmetric information, and monopolies are useful concepts for understanding how regulators perhaps should behave. But the important thing is how they do behave.

CEI’s Battered Business Bureau: The Week in Regulation


This week in the world of regulation:

  • Last week, 71 new final rules were published, up from 38 the previous, holiday-shortened week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every 2 hours and 22 minutes — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • All in all, 3,058 final rules have been published in the Federal Register this year.
  • If this keeps up, the total tally for 2012 will be 3,820 new rules.
  • Last week, 1,991 new pages were added to the 2012 Federal Register, for a total of 64,313 pages.
  • At its current pace, the 2012 Federal Register will run 79,204 pages.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. The 41 such rules published so far in 2012 have compliance costs of at least $23.9 billion. Two of the rules do not have cost estimates, and a third cost estimate does not give a total annual cost. We assume that rules lacking this basic transparency measure cost the bare minimum of $100 million per year. The true cost is almost certainly higher.
  • One economically significant rule was published last week.
  • So far, 301 final rules that meet the broader definition of “significant” have been published in 2012.
  • So far this year, 575 final rules affect small business; 84 of them are significant rules.

Highlights from final rules published last week:

  • This week’s economically significant rule is a big one. Strict new CAFE standards, which are minimum gas mileage requirements for car manufacturers’ product lines, were published on Monday. They come into effect starting with the 2017 model year. The EPA estimates annual costs to be $6.49 billion. A minor technical correction was also issued on Friday.
  • Oenophiles may be familiar with Washington state’s Columbia Valley winemaking area. The Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau has established a new Ancient Lakes of Columbia Valley region inside the larger Columbia Valley area.
  • A new FAA rules allows passengers to bring approved portable oxygen concentrators on board airplanes.
  • If you want to become a certified seafarer, be aware that the Coast Guard has updated the requirements.

For more data, go to TenThousandCommandments.com.

Well Done, Minnesota

Looks like Minnesotans can learn online, after all. A little bad publicity really can go a long way.

(via Katherine Mangu-Ward)

Regulation of the Day 229: Educating Yourself


We live in a golden age of information. These days, anybody who wants to can get a college-level education without ever setting foot on a college campus. An outfit called the Teaching Company doesn’t confer degrees, but it does sell undergraduate-level lecture courses in history, philosophy, literature, the arts, the sciences, and more.

Of course, they charge money. Other outfits don’t. Coursera is a new company that has already attracted nearly 1.7 million customers. You can take online courses for free in almost any subject from medicine to economics to electrical engineering. The lectures are taped at top universities such as Columbia, Vanderbilt, Stanford, and more. You can even take an introductory class in guitar from the Berklee College of Music. Now you don’t need to rack up intimidating levels of debt to learn from the best professors at the world’s best universities.

Minnesota’s Solons would prefer that their state’s residents miss out on this golden age. State law bans unauthorized college courses from the state. Of course, this can’t really be done in the Internet age. Coursera should have pointed out how absurd this law is. Protecting people from free and abundant knowledge is not exactly doing them a service. There’s no force or fraud here, and Coursera does not even confer degrees. Despite all this, Coursera decided to take the appeasement route by posting the following notice:

Coursera has been informed by the Minnesota Office of Higher Education that under Minnesota Statutes (136A.61 to 136A.71), a university cannot offer online courses to Minnesota residents unless the university has received authorization from the State of Minnesota to do so. If you are a resident of Minnesota, you agree that either (1) you will not take courses on Coursera, or (2) for each class that you take, the majority of work you do for the class will be done from outside the State of Minnesota.

Fortunately, not everyone is a regulatory Neville Chamberlain. George Mason University’s Alex Tabarrok, along with his colleague Tyler Cowen, have just started up their own online university, MRUniversity. The name comes from their blog, Marginal Revolution (though I do sometimes pronounce it “Mr. University” in my head). Tabarrok, channeling his inner Churchill, posted this:

Tyler and I wish to be perfectly clear: unlike Coursera, we will not shut down MRU to the residents of Minnesota. We are prepared to defend our rights under the First Amendment to teach the good people of Minnesota all about the Solow Model, water policy in Africa, and the economics of garlic–even if we have to do so from a Minnesota jail!

Should it come to that, it would take mere seconds to decide the court case on the merits. Maybe the Institute for Justice, with its long track record of free speech litigation, can weigh in. With all the bad publicity this story is getting, maybe the mere threat of a lawsuit would cause Minnesota’s resident Savonarolas to back down.

At the risk of making this post illegal to read in Minnesota, I close by encouraging readers interested in free speech to read John Milton’s essay “Areopagitica.” It is one of the most stirring, passionate and eloquent defenses of free expression ever put to paper. The full text is even online for free, courtesy of Dartmouth University.