Category Archives: Economics

CEI Podcast for January 9, 2013: Reining in Sue and Settle with the REDO Act

EPA_logo
Have a listen here.

Senior Fellow William Yeatman argues that the REDO Act, up for a House vote today, would limit a practice called sue and settle. Friendly activist groups sue allied agencies over missed deadlines, and the settlements typically include enactment of policies that the agencies and the groups both favor. Sue and settle is a form of regulation without representation, without input from Congress or voters.

CEI Podcast for January 2, 2014: Rethinking Unemployment Insurance

vnemployment line
Have a listen here.

With unemployment still painfully high more than five years after the financial crisis, Senior Fellow in Labor Policy Aloysius Hogan thinks that re-extending unemployment insurance would only make the problem worse.

Two Cheers for Tapered Quantitative Easing

The Federal Reserve made waves when it announced it was rolling back its quantitative easing program. Looking more closely, one finds it’s actually a very minor policy change, moving from $85 billion to $75 billion per month. Over at the Washington Times, I encourage the Fed to taper back the rest of the QE program, and point out that the Fed may be sending a subtle political message about how presumptive incoming Fed Chair Janet Yellen will approach inflation:

Johns Hopkins University economist Steve Hanke argues that Ms. Yellen is more hawkish on inflation than her dovish reputation suggests. The tapering announcement seems to confirm Mr. Hanke’s thesis. As the Fed’s current vice chairman, she already has significant say on Fed policy. She has publicly supported the new Basel III reserve banking standards, which would require banks to hold more of their capital in reserve. That would decrease the amount of money in circulation — the exact opposite effect of quantitative easing — and help keep inflation in check.

There are plenty of problems with the Basel III standards, but this would be one positive effect. Read the whole thing here.

All I Want for Christmas Is an End to Quantitative Easing

This short video from Remy and Reason.tv is both amusing and enlightening, though, as the description notes, “The value of Remy’s soon-to-be Christmas classic can only be determined after adjusting for inflation.” Click here if the embed doesn’t work.

A Lesson in Humility

An important bit of wisdom from p. 25 of Rolf Dobelli’s The Art of Thinking Clearly:

There are about one million trained economists on the planet, and not one of them could accurately predict the timing of the 2008 financial crisis (with the exception of Nouriel Roubini and Nassim Taleb), let alone how the collapse would play out, from the real estate bubble bursting to credit swaps collapsing, right through to the full-blown economic crunch. Never has a group of experts failed so spectacularly. The story from the medical world is much the same: Up until 1900 it was discernibly wiser for patients to avoid doctor’s visits; too often the “treatment” only worsened the illness, due to poor hygiene and folk practices such as bloodletting.

The lesson to be learned is a familiar one: beware the rule of experts. No matter how clever you are, be a student of society. Don’t try to be its savior. That is well beyond any one person.

CEI Podcast for December 5, 2013: Ending Corporate Welfare

corporate welfare
Have a listen here.

Stephen Slivinski, a senior economist at the Goldwater Institute, discusses solutions to the seemingly intractable problem of corporate welfare.

Hayek Smiles

On page 210 of his otherwise-wonderful book Five Billion Years of Solitude: The Search for Life Among the Stars, Lee Billings lets slip a bit of hubris:

We are now beginning to appreciate the complexity of the Earth system, and we are faced with controlling that complexity.

This quote is evidence that Billings does not, in fact, appreciate the world’s complexity. Nothing can fully understand something more complex than itself. A human could not possibly understand, let alone control, something so vastly larger, older, and more complicated than he is.

As with the physical world, so with the social world. Peter Boettke counsels economists, who study social processes, to be students, rather than saviors. Bad things happen otherwise. Similar advice applies in this case to natural scientists.

This quibble aside, Billings has written an excellent book that is as well-written and personable as it is informative. I recommend it highly.

CEI Podcast for November 12, 2013: CEI’s “I, Pencil” Film Wins Award

I-Pencil
Have a listen here.

CEI’s short film “I,Pencil,” based on Leonard Read’s 1958 essay, won the first annual Reason Video Prize on November 6. The prize honors short-form films on individual rights, limited government and the free market. Nicole Ciandella wrote the adapted screenplay for the film.

CEI Podcast for November 7, 2013: A Prohibitive Excise Tax

unkn_beer_brand_1x

Have a listen here.

A new CEI study finds that the most expensive ingredient in beer isn’t grain, hops, or equipment: it’s taxes. Study co-author and Fellow in Consumer Policy Studies Michelle Minton has more on the problem, and how and how two bills currently before Congress might solve it.

Towards a More Transparent Fed

Iain Murray and I have a piece in today’s American Spectator breaking down the new paper we co-wrote with John Berlau about questions we would like Janet Yellen to answer, whether in her confirmation hearing or elsewhere. The main point is transparency:

Transparency is essential for a public body that takes trillion dollar decisions. We need to know what she feels about the possibility of auditing the Fed. Indeed, Senator Rand Paul has already announced that he will place a hold on her nomination until he sees some progress with his Federal Reserve Transparency Act bill — something that Senate Majority Leader Reid used to support. If and when Professor Yellen does come before a confirmation hearing, Senators need to make her views on these questions transparent to the nation too.

Read the whole thing here. The full paper is here.