Monthly Archives: September 2012

Regulatory Costs Exceed Official Estimates 20-Fold

Paul Bedard summarizes Wayne Crews’ new working paper “Tip of the Costberg.” You can read the latest draft here.

Economic Freedom of the World

Non-economists tend to be much more skeptical about economic freedom than economists are. This in itself is a powerful case for free markets. But empirical data present a far richer and more compelling argument in favor of freedom. That’s why I look forward each year to the release of an updated edition of the Economic Freedom of the World report, jointly published by our friends at the Cato Institute and the Vancouver-based Fraser Institute, with help from more than 30 think tanks around the world.

The report is nothing if not thorough. James Gwartney, Robert Lawson, Joshua Hall, and a small army of contributors assemble data on 144 countries, ranging from regulatory burdens to property rights protections to the amount of corruption. In all, each country is measured on 42 variables. Then each country is given a score from 1 to 10. The freer the economy, the higher the score.

If economic freedom had no bearing on wealth creation, then plotting the scores against per capita GDP would show no distinct pattern. It would be a random blob. What the data actually show is anything but random. As it turns out, poor countries all have something in common: little economic freedom. Countries in the bottom quartile of economic freedom have an average per capita GDP of $5,188. They are clustered in the lower left hand side of our graph.

Rich countries all have something in common, too. They have high scores. Countries in the top quartile of economic freedom have an average per capita GDP of $37,691. That extra freedom results in a seven-fold increase in wealth. If you value human well-being, economic freedom is extremely important. People can only prosper if they’re allowed to.

If that seven-fold difference in living standards doesn’t move you at least a little bit at the margin in favor of free markets, you probably have a hard head, a cold heart, or both. It is the difference between modern sanitation and open sewers. It is the difference between having respectable medical care and not. It is the difference between subsistence farming and an industrial/service-based economy.

Gwartney, et al have been putting out Economic Freedom of the World reports since 1996, so by now they some good long-run data. The trends are encouraging on one front: worldwide, economic freedom has been on the rise for some time. In 1980, the global average score was 5.30. By 2010, it rose to 6.83. Eastern Europe, especially the Baltic region, and southeast Asia have been the biggest stars. The world’s two freest economies are Hong Kong (8.90) and Singapore (8.69).

China (6.16) and India (6.42) are slowly moving in the direction of economic freedom – neither is there yet – and as a result, hundreds of millions of people have already been lifted out of poverty. Liberalization is the most effective anti-poverty program the world has ever seen. More would be nice.

Domestically, the situation is less encouraging. Presidents Bush and Obama have sharply increased spending and regulation over the last decade, and have worsened the government’s already poor financial health. The result is that the world’s second freest economy in 2000 fell to 18th in 2010, the latest year for which data is available. America’s score has fallen from 8.65 in 2000 to 7.70 in 2010. It is the first time the U.S. has been outside of the top ten.

The Bush-Obama years have been very bad for economic freedom. There is a lot of regulatory excess to roll back, and a lot of debt to pay off. It will take time to undo all the damage, but it can be done. Perhaps the U.S. can look to the examples set by economically freer countries such as Canada, the UK, Finland, and, surprisingly, Qatar.

Slow News Day

Politico: Obama administration denies plan to invade Canada

Dog Shoots Man

You know the old cliche. Dog bites man? Not news. Man bites dog? Now that’s news. So one lucky reporter must have been absolutely delighted to put this headline on a story:

Two men shot by their own dogs, ‘accidentally’

CEI’s Battered Business Bureau: The Week in Regulation


Just another week in the world of regulation:

  •  76 new final rules were published last week, up from 51 the previous (holiday-shortened) week.
  • That’s the equivalent of a new regulation every 2 hours and 13 minutes — 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • All in all, 2,708 final rules have been published in the Federal Register this year.
  • If this keeps up, the total tally for 2012 will be 3,842 new rules.
  • 1,571 new pages were added to the 2012 Federal Register last week, for a total of 55,324 pages.
  • At its current pace, the 2012 Federal Register will run 79,463 pages.
  • Rules are called “economically significant” if they have costs of $100 million or more in a given year. The 36 such rules published so far in 2012 have compliance costs of at least $17.4 billion. Two of the rules do not have cost estimates, and a third cost estimate does not give a total annual cost. We assume that rules lacking this basic transparency measure cost the bare minimum of $100 million per year. The true cost is almost certainly higher.
  • 1 economically significant rule was published last week.
  • So far, 272 final rules that meet the broader definition of “significant” have been published in 2012.
  • So far this year, 521 final rules affect small business. 72 of them are significant rules.

Highlights from final rules published last week:

  • Last week’s economically significant regulation comes from the EPA. It has set new performance standards for oil refineries under five years old. Estimated compliance costs are $79 million. This is short of the $100 million threshold; it counts as an economically significant rule because EPA estimates benefits ranging from $200 million to $1.9 billion. Something to keep in mind: if an estimate’s range covers nearly a factor of ten, it is usually a fancy way of saying “we have no idea what the benefits will be.”
  • The EPA published a more humble rule on Tuesday concerning paper mill emissions. It estimates $5.9 million in capital costs and $2.1 million in annually recurring costs, and wisely declines to quantify benefits, because “we were unable to quantify the emissions reductions associated with the new requirements in the final rule.”
  • You may have heard the term “policing for profit,” in which police departments and other agencies take property from people who have not been convicted of crimes. The DEA, a longtime leader of the policing for profit movement, has updated its seizure and forfeiture regulations.
  • The federal government regulates where wine producers may say their wine comes from. Last week Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau established the Innwood Valley region in California and the Middleburg Virginia region.
  • Updated FAA airworthiness directives for Glasflugel gliders.

For more data, go to TenThousandCommandments.com.

They Did It – Almost

Rookie Wily Peralta pitched 8 shutout innings in his third career start, and Ryan Braun hit two home runs to lift the Brewers over the Mets, 3-0.

Meanwhile, the Cubs beat Pittsburgh 13-9. Promising rookie Anthony Rizzo had two home runs of his own, including his first career grand slam.

That means that if the Cubs win all their remaining games and the Brewers lose all of theirs, they will finish with identical 74-88 records. The Brewers can now officially do no worse than their rivals.

To ensure a better finish, the magic number is now 1. The next Brewer win or Cub loss ensures Milwaukee’s bragging rights over their southern neighbors.

Towards a Winning Record

Milwaukee’s magic number to finish higher than the Cubs is down to 2 games. If the Brewers beat the Mets today and the Cubs lose to Pittsburgh, it’s clinched.

CoolStandings.com puts Milwaukee’s playoff chances at 7.3 percent, so I’m not getting my hopes up for that. But they can finish with a winning record. They’re 73-72 entering today’s game, so if the Brewers finish the season with 9-8 run, they can do it. An 8-9 finish puts them at .500.

Considering how the season began, this fan is more than pleased to be realistically hoping for a winning record. If they aren’t playoff-bound, that’s not a bad consolation prize.

Headline of the Day

Man walks into bar, orders a water, eats black pepper then heads to Wisconsin

Just another day in the life.

CEI Podcast for September 13, 2012: CEI Sues the EPA


Have a listen here.

The EPA has been stonewalling a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request from the Competitive Enterprise Institute since 2010. Since the EPA has no intention to comply with the law, CEI has sued the EPA in a case that could set a major precedent in government transparency. Energy Policy Analyst William Yeatman explains how agency officials have been using private email accounts to conduct official business, arguing that non-governmental email accounts are exempt from outside scrutiny. CEI argues that basic transparency demands that public information be made public.

Almost There

The Brewers have been on an extended hot streak. To the surprise of everyone but themselves, they have played their way back to .500. Their record is 71-71 entering tonight’s game against Atlanta.

The Brewers are even back in the fringes of the playoff race, thanks to the second wild card spot that MLB added this year. They’re fighting a lot of teams for it — Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Philly, LA, Atlanta — but at least they’re fighting. Considering how badly the earlier parts of the season went, 2012 actually turned out to be a good year. I doubt they’ll make the playoffs, but at least they’re playing meaningful baseball this time of year.

The 55-87 Cubs haven’t been so fortunate. By my calculations, Milwaukee’s magic number to beat the Cubs is down to 5. Both teams have 20 games left to play. I might have to set a higher goal for my Brewers.