Monthly Archives: June 2008

Jagdish Bhagwati: Simplicity Is Beautiful

I had the pleasure of seeing distinguished trade economist Jagdish Bhagwati speak yesterday. He is promoting his new book, Termites in the Trading System: How Preferential Agreements Undermine Free Trade. Bhagwati’s insights are well worth sharing.

He attacked the current wave of bilateral Free Trade Agreements… on the grounds that they hurt free trade. Bhagwati, always a stickler for precision of language, thinks these FTAs are better called PTAs, or Preferential Trade Agreements. By only including a few countries, they are discriminatory by their very nature. True free trade does not discriminate.

The agreements are also too complicated. They contain provisions that have nothing to do with trade, such as labor and environmental standards. Trade-unrelated provisions can slow economic growth, and can intrude on nations’ sovereign right to make their own laws. They also turn international trade law into a complex thicket that is all but impossible to navigate; simplicity is beautiful.

Bhagwati’s preferred approach is to revive the Doha round, and to institute much broader, less discriminatory agreements like the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA).

He also had a few things to say about the presidential candidates’ trade positions. In short, neither gets it. McCain is solidly pro-trade, but confused. He thinks PTAs are the same thing as free trade. Obama is harder to read. His heart seems to be in the right place, but he appears to have been captured by his party’s labor and environmental interests. Obama has to appeal to his base, so he says things he shouldn’t.

Bhagwati’s approach to trade is simple, principled, and refreshing. But I fear that he is letting the perfect be the enemy of the good. The Doha round is all but dead, despite a few recent stirrings. The FTAA is less than likely in the current political climate. PTAs are certainly not ideal, but they’re all we have right now. Some progress is better than none.

DC Gun Ban Struck Down

I don’t like guns. But I’ve always been skeptical of gun control; prohibition doesn’t work. That’s why the Supreme Court’s ruling in the Heller case, which strikes down DC’s unconstitutional gun ban, is a joy to see.

Q1 Growth Revised Upward Again

The second and final revision of the first quarter’s GDP was released this morning. Growth now stands at 1.0%, up from 0.9%. It was originally pegged at 0.6%.

Contrary to popular belief, the economy is not in a recession.

House Passes AMT Relief… Again

The Alternative Minimum Tax is almost universally hated. It’s basically a second tax code. If your income is high enough, you have to do your taxes twice. Once under the normal tax code, and again under AMT rules. Then you pay whichever is higher.

That’s bad enough. But Congress didn’t index the AMT for inflation when they enacted it in 1969. Almost forty years later, that means as many as 30 million people are subject to AMT. Some of them have incomes as low as $40,000.

This is where Congress gets a chance to look good. Every year, without fail, they pass an AMT relief bill. By sparing over 20 million people the hassle of doing their taxes twice, they earn voters’ gratitude.

Why don’t they just pass a one-and-done permanent AMT repeal or reform? That would be much easier.

Passing a patchwork bill every year means Congressmen get to hold more press conferences and talk to more reporters. It gives voters an annual reminder that their representative is looking out for them. It’s better for getting Votes. That’s why fundamental, permanent AMT reform is unlikely to happen.

Politics is a loathesome business.

Everglades for VP?

Florida Governor Charlie Crist just announced a $1.7 billion restoration program for the Everglades.

Given the timing, it sure sounds like somebody wants Sen. McCain to give him the VP nod.

Restaurant Drive-Throughs: Mankind’s Doom?

Madison, WI is considering banning restaurant drive-throughs. Why? Global warming, of course.

Sometimes the new religion is its own reductio ad absurdum.

World Ends in 2012: The Solution to Immigration?

The Mayan calendar comes to an end in 2012. Thousands of people in the Netherlands, of all places, think this means that the world will also end.

One believer thinks this can be a good thing: “I don’t like it here anymore. Take immigration, for example. They keep letting people in.”

Sounds like Lou Dobbs has an international following.

Has the WTO Gone Bananas?

Who knew bananas could be controversial? The U.S. and the EU are locked in a heated dispute over banana tariffs. Ecuador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Mexico are also parties to the complaint. The EU gives preferential treatment to former colonies of Britain, France and Portugal for banana imports. That means most of Latin America faces unfair tariffs.

The WTO ruled last month that the EU’s tariffs violate international trade rules. The ruling isn’t the end of the matter, though. The case, which dates all the way back to February 1996, has been further delayed. Brussels objected, so the WTO is granting more time for negotiations.

One wonders what is left to negotiate after twelve and a half years.

If the EU officials had the best interest of their constituents at heart, they would drop their trade barriers. The EU’s preferential treatment of certain countries comes at European consumers’ expense — as well as the banana producers of five nations.

Approval Ratings

Congress has an 89% disapproval rating.

What are the other 11% thinking?

Hat Tip: Andy Roth

Giving Back to the Community

Milwaukee Brewers Hall-of-Famer Robin Yount is coming out with his own brand of lemonade. I chuckled when I saw that Robinade is “made in Wisconsin from 100% natural ingredients including real lemon juice concentrate, lemon pulp and natural lemon oils.” (emphasis mine)

I didn’t chuckle when I read that “In line with Yount’s tradition of giving back to the community, a percentage of profits will go directly to Wisconsin children’s charities.”

It is wonderful that Yount is giving to charity. But he’s not giving back to the community. What has he taken? He is simply giving to the community.